}

経済指標の見方 注目するべき4つの指標

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2019年10月23日

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経済指標の見方

為替と経済指標は密接な関係があります。
そのため各国の経済指標の発表によって大きく変動する傾向があります。
特にアメリカの経済指標は影響力が強いです。
ですのでアメリカの経済指標は常に注目しておきたい指標となります。

当然のことですが発表された経済指標の数字が避ければその通貨に人気が集まります。
つまり多く買われて通貨の価値が上がります。
また逆に経済指標の数字が悪ければ、通貨の人気がなくなります。
この場合、先ほどとは逆に通貨は多く売られ、価値が下がります。

それでは特に注目しておきたい4つの指標と為替の関係を示していきます。


各国の失業率
失業率の低下 → 景気回復 → 通貨上昇
各国のGDP(国内総生産)
GDP上昇 → 経済引締 → 金利上昇 → 通貨価値上昇
各国の政策金利(日本では公定歩合)
金利上昇 → その国の通貨に人気が集まる(多く買われる) → 通貨価値上昇
各国の消費者物価指数
消費者物価指数上昇 → 金融引締 → 金利上昇 → 通貨価値上昇



経済指標と為替の関係については上記のように考えてもらえればけっこうです。
しかし、1つ注意しておかなければならないことがあります。

『経済指標で良い数字がでたとしても安易にその国の通貨を購入してはいけない』

ということです。

それぞれの経済指標には前もって「これくらいになるだろう」という予想値が発表されます。
そして、その予想値と実際の結果を見比べることが経済指標を見る上でもっとも重要なことです。

なぜ予測値?
という疑問があるかもしれませんが、これには理由があります。
多くのプロ為替ディーラーやトレーダーなどが予想値よりも高かったのか低かったのかを注目しているからです。
彼らは前年比で○%上昇した、下落したという数値などは見ていません。

実際の結果が予測していた数値と同じであればその情報は既にチャートに折り込み済みです。
ですので小幅な値動きになることが多いです。

反対に予想した数字よりまったく予想をしていなかった想定外の数字がでた場合は市場に混乱が起こります。
そして値幅の大きな動きになります。

例えば日本の失業率が−2%と予想されていた場合に実際の数値が−1%だったとしましょう。
この場合、失業率が低下して前年よりも改善されています。
しかし実際には予想していた数値までにはとどかなかった。
こう判断されます。
日本への失望感から日本の通貨が売られ、円安に向かう。
こういった傾向があります。

このように指標を見るときには前年比で見ても意味がありません。
予測値と較べて上昇したのか、下落したのか、で判断するようにしましょう。

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Talk to a domain expert: 1-303-893-0552

Hurry - once it's sold this opportunity will be gone!

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Here's What Others Are Saying

Since 2005, we've helped thousands of people get the perfect domain name
  • I am happy that HugeDomains offers financing. This made my purchase extra sweet and affordable. My transaction was seamless and convenient. Thank you for this excellent service. - Jeremiah Spence, 10/14/2019
  • Spoke to Ryan over the phone, and he helped me with all my questions! Great customer service and readily available. The process was easy and relatively quick, taking place over the course of only three business days. Would highly recommend for those that are considering buying a domain from hugedomains.com. A third-party gets involved called namebright.com but there is no additional charge and they facilitate the transfer of domains from severs. Cheers - Sammy Lam, 10/14/2019
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  • More testimonials

MerlinTelecom.com

Own this domain today

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Questions?
Speak with a domain specialist!
Call us: 1-303-893-0552 M-F 9am - 5pm MST

© 2019 HugeDomains.com. All rights reserved.

人気上昇中!上記のメインFX会社と合わせて口座開設したいFX取引業者

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